On December 30, Malaysia’s longest ever serving prime minister Mahathir Mohamad, who now finds himself leader of the same opposition politicians he used to harangue and imprison, stood on stage to offer an apology.
“Like other human beings, I’m not alone in saying or doing wrong. Not just today, but for as long as I’ve been in politics,” said the 92- year-old, who, weeks later, would be named the prime ministerial candidate for the opposition Pakatan Harapan coalition.
“I apologize for all my past mistakes,” he added, seemingly wrapping up his speech at the annual general meeting (AGM) of his newly formed political party, the Malaysian United Indigenous Party (PPBM).
That, however, is where the niceties stopped. Mahathir might have been remorseful of his past, but he had little patience for the swelling numbers of politicians who have recently left his PPBM. Not missing a beat, he went on to say that he won’t apologize for calling them “garbage” – his long-favored slur.
“They are even worse than our enemies… they have betrayed the struggle that we have fought for the people,” Mahathir added, seemingly confirming suspicions that there is little place for alternative opinion within his party.
Recent high-level quitters include party vice-president Hamidah Osman, executive secretary Kamarul Azman Habibur Rahman and women’s wing chief Anina Saadudin.
The number of women who have left the party is particularly glaring. Hasnita Hishamudin, the women’s wing assistant secretary, left in September while five more women’s wing seniors departed in December.
“He is a person who will label people who do not follow his words. He is a dictator,” former party vice president Hamidah Osman told local media last month.
Some remaining PPBM grandees claimed bribes were offered to those who have left, including Hamidah, who rejected the accusation and said she was considering suing Syed Saddiq, the PPBM’s Youth chief who made the assertion.
Such ugly spats haven’t helped the opposition party’s image, which saw more than 1,000 members from Perak quit en masse last May.
But the biggest controversy could have been the AGM itself. According to former and current members, the event went against the party’s constitution as branch and division level meetings were supposed to be held beforehand.
One division chief said local offices had not even elected delegates to attend the AGM, another breach of the party’s constitution.
The Registrar of Societies, the government department that oversees the registration of political parties, has been called to investigate the case, though the PPBM may well argue that the same department threatened it with deregistration in November if it didn’t hold an AGM by the end of 2017.
Political parties are required to hold an AGM within a year of their formation. There is thus now a chance that Mahathir’s PPBM could be deregistered before elections, which must be held by August, are staged later this year.
With polls fast approaching, many Harapan elites are now careful to say publicly that Mahathir is a reformed character who can lead the ‘Reformasi’, a movement for political change that started in 1998 when Mahathir, then prime minister, sacked and jailed his deputy Anwar Ibrahim, who became the opposition’s de-facto leader.
Anwar’s wife, Wan Azizah Wan Ismail, is the president of the Social Justice Movement (PKR), which was formed during 1998 during Reformasi street protests and is now a component of the Harapan coalition.
She is thought to have at least publicly ceded to Mahathir’s prime ministerial candidacy, though not everyone in the party is happy. Its Selangor chapter, for instance, opposed the motion this month.
Some commentators believe Harapan needs a figure like Mahathir, who they say has the experience and temperament to hold the fractious coalition together. A rejoinder, however, is that as his PPBM comes apart he’ll have little chance of overseeing and uniting an even more unwieldly coalition of parties.
Prime Minister Najib Razak, in tune with the feelings of many Malaysians for once, said last month: “I heard that a -year-old man is still interested in becoming prime minister again…the opposition is really in a turmoil.”
Najib has long derided Harapan for pursing “Machiavellian politics,” in which the enemy of my enemy is my friend. Analysts, not dissimilarly, suspect Mahathir’s rationale for joining the opposition is first and foremost political revenge.
Indeed, he often seems more interested in ousting Najib rather than toppling his ruling United Malays National Organization (UMNO), from which Mahathir quit in 2016. There are also suggestions his focus is more on embarrassing Najib than ushering in a new era of clean politics, as many of his Harapan allies aspire.
But a Malaysian Machiavelli is what is needed, some say, if the opposition is to wrestle Putrajaya away from UMNO, which has been in power with coalition partners consecutively since 1957.
One purpose of Malaysian coalitions is to ensure allied parties don’t compete for the same parliamentary seats, thereby fielding one strong candidate against the rival coalition’s contender.
This month, Harapan agreed to its seating allocations in peninsular Malaysia, with PPBM allocated 52 seats, one more than the PKR. The DAP will contest 35; Amanah 27. Allocations for seats in Sabah and Sarawak have yet to be confirmed.
Given that PPBM candidates are competing in mainly marginal seats, where UMNO’s support is thought to be fading, a strong performance could make or break Harapan. But this is predicated on two key assumptions which may or may not be true.
First, support for UMNO is probably not as low as the PPBM thinks. Back in 2015 almost four out of five Malaysians were unhappy with Najib’s leadership, according to the Merdeka Centre, a local pollster.
But memories of the multi-billion dollar 1MDB scandal that previously badly tainted Najib’s image now seem to be fading while UMNO has promised popular reforms if re-elected. The economy is also growing more healthily after years of poor performance.
Second, it’s not clear that the PPBM can offer the primarily Malay-Muslim constituencies where it will compete against UMNO anything that the long-ruling party cannot. In some respects, the PPBM is relying on the belief that it can somehow out-UMNO UMNO for popular support.
If the DAP, PKR and Amanah retain the same number of seats they currently hold combined (69), then it would mean that the PPBM needs to win 43 seats for Harapan to form a majority government.
It won’t be easy. Pakatan Raykat, Harapan’s predecessor coalition that split in 2015, was at its strongest at the 2013 general election, where it won the popular vote (50.8%). But it only took roughly 40% of parliament’s seats because of Malaysia’s heavily gerrymandered, first-past-the-post electoral system.
Some analysts think an opposition coalition needs to win at least 60% of the popular vote, if not more, to gain a majority in parliament.
But prioritizing PPBM candidates over Harapan’s other parties would arguably be a damaging opposition admission that only a Malay-centric party (PPBM) can compete against UMNO. This is, of course, a realist view of Malaysia politics, which has long been divided over race and religion.
Analysts say that if Harapan had chosen an ethnic Chinese, non-Muslim for its prime ministerial candidate, someone like DAP leader Lim Kit Siang, then many Malay-Muslims would not vote for the coalition.
The concern, however, is that the PPBM will simply adopt the same tactics and policies of the ruling UMNO party if elected. Not everyone is convinced that short-term electoral gains are worth the long-term consequences.
Mujahid Yusof Rawa, vice president of Amanah, said earlier this month that “there is no point if PPBM replaces UMNO but still continues UMNO’s racist doctrines without reforming the Malay community.”
But even if the improbable happens and Harapan wins the upcoming election, there are concerns that Mahathir’s and his PPBM’s pre-election conciliation transforms into something less conciliatory.
This month it was announced that Anwar will be released from prison in early June, perhaps in time to join the opposition on the campaign trail, though he will not be eligible to contest the ballot. Najib has yet to announce when elections will be held; Anwar’s release might prompt a pre-June election.
The hope of many within Harapan is that if the opposition wins Mahathir will serve only temporarily as prime minister until Anwar is able to assume the role. He would need a royal pardon (not difficult if Harapan wins) and a parliamentary seat yield by another elected official for this to happen.
That hand-off is thought to have been the prerequisite for Anwar’s support of Mahathir’s ascension to Harapan’s leadership. But some within the DAP and PKR say privately that they are concerned Mahathir will not voluntarily step down if Harapan wins.
What if Mahathir becomes prime minister, forms a new coalition with UMNO (sans Najib), sidelines his Harapan partners and chooses his own successor, potentially a family member? Or, what if Mahathir becomes prime minister and refuses a hand-over to Anwar – will Harapan continue to support him just for the sake of power?
Conspiratorial thinking is a Malaysian pastime, not least because Malaysian politics is so often conducted conspiratorially, particularly in an election season. That’s in part because it’s the same old faces – Najib, Mahathir and Anwar included – still grasping for power, often by hook, crook or whatever means possible.
Harapan means hope. But what is the presently assembled opposition coalition Harapan under former PM Mahathir led by Malay PPBM hoping against the present government coalition Barisal Nasional under PM Najib led by Malay UMNO other than to win government at the next election?
The main clarion call of the Harapan is to end the gross unimaginable inconceivable kleptocracy of Barisal National and in particular that of the incumbent PM Najib an ships family and cronies.
That is not to say that when the former PM Mahathir led UMNO and the Barisal Nasional it was not corrupt. It too was corrupt! But in an imaginable and conceivable sense having regard to how things work in Malaysia traditionally of ‘greasing the palm’ to get things done and to win favours.
It simply comes down to PM Najib having crossed the acceptable line, gone beyond ‘reasonable’ and ‘tolerable’ limits. Particularly when it comes to the self enrichment of small coterie of the elite.
But in a practical sense, nothing really will come about in terms of politics Malaysian style.
Life will still be the same. But in future which ‘coalition’ will win Government will the one who demonstrates that it will be less corrupt than the other.
And that singularly is what this impending general election is about.
There is no ‘regime’ change as such as if like in the West one party is ‘pro-business’ and the other is ‘pro-working class’.
Either coalition would still be stuck with prescribing special privileges and rights for the Bumiputras as against the minority races.
It would have been simpler to have a nation where all Malaysians are totally equal except that only Bumiputras, as individuals and the Crown can own land freehold. All non-Bumiputras and that includes all coroprations or abstract entities can own land leasehold only for 99 years, after which they revert back to Crown land. That should be the only privilege that Bumiputras should have as against non-Bumiputras and other Malaysians, natural or corporate. And Bumiputras should include those born out of a Chinese-Malay marriage, i.e. 50% Malay, and are Muslim.
Mahathir started the rot in Malaysian politics; it is now up to him to end it. Now is the time, especially when, in addition to the rot, the country’s kleptocratic termites are chewing and decimating the core of the country’s very foundation. The stakes are high, and "ini kali lah" should be the battle-cry this time too because Malays will be the biggest loser if the rot is not halted soon.
How many of us can and will do as Dr Mahathir at 92? Whatever we may be wondering about that "old man" on what he is trying to show or do, many Malaysians failed to appreciate the coming epic battle to be fought in the General Election which will affect their lives and their children, children’s lives if Dr Mahathir fails to unseat Najib. Good luck to all of you and my salute to this old seasoned warrior called Bapa Malaysia. May the Force be with you, Dr Mahathir!
Agree with Yashad that total equality before the law is necessary, even in Malaysia, but we may have to give the Malays time to adjust to this new reality. Racism should not be acceptable any longer in ANY society.
I am 3rd generation Malaysian Chinese. I am sort of half Baba.
Yes, time, patience and tolerance are needed. And time rolls by real slow in the tropics. And the problem is not going away real soon no matter how we harp about equal rights. There is a deeper chasm than that.
Take me, I do not not want to forgo my Chineseness, and I still feel very attached to China business wise and culturally. Otherwise I am very Malaysian but not Malay in the Bumiputra sense of Malay culture and Islam.
I have Indonesian Chinese friends who do not speak Chinese or read or concern themselves about China, and yet they too are discriminated against in Indonesia. From them I have learnt that even if you lose your Chineseness and only speak Bahasa you are never going to be Bumi or Prebumi in their case unless you are a Muslim and marry into their race.
To me Islam is the ‘divider’.
Why? Take the Chinese in Thailand. Because they are Buddhists they are fully assimilated and accepted as 100% Thai.
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