The Iran miscalculations that we were warned about
Clausewitz had something to say about wars conducted without a clear political object, and none of it was flattering
Iran: ‘shot down Reaper drone’ after US launched new strikes
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said it reserves the right to ‘respond to any ceasefire violation by the aggressor US’
Singapore is winning the AI race nobody is watching
Singapore won’t build the world’s most powerful AI model, but investors know its AI governance framework is second to none
Frontier isn’t the finish line in US-China AI rivalry
US builds the most powerful AI while China deploys it fastest. The next era won’t be won at the frontier — but the last mile
US, China escalate quantum race with rival investment drives
The US directly invests in quantum firms as Chinese companies post breakthrough results across three hardware approaches
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MAY 22, 2026
Inflation, instability, and escalation
- Japan faces a long, hot summer of inflation and tightening
- Germany’s political risk premium is rising fast
- Russia and NATO drift closer to confrontation over Ukraine
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US air losses over Iran may grimly foreshadow China war risks
Dozens of aircraft lost in operations against Iran suggest how vulnerable US airpower could become in a war against China
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GOP hawks alarmed as Trump mulls deal to end his Iran war
They warn against accepting any agreement that will leave Iran in a stronger position than before Trump launched his war
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