Too many players, too many grievances for one ceasefire to hold
Leveraging US-Iran ceasefire into lasting peace deal will require overcoming entrenched regional rivalries and strategic incoherence
China’s Middle East billions still woefully reliant on US gunboats
China let Washington bear the Gulf’s security costs for decades; the Hormuz crisis shows that arrangement is no longer viable
US lawmakers seek to block China’s DUV lithography access
Pundits say China may turn to Nvidia’s high-end chips if domestic artificial intelligence chip production is disrupted
Iran ceasefire: too many brokers, too little leverage
No process, however well-led or well-intentioned, can close a gap the parties themselves have not yet chosen to close
N Korea building a new war playbook from Iran and Ukraine
Weapon tests drawing on recent wars to shift from peninsula-centric deterrence to an interconnected Indo-Pacific escalation strategy
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APRIL 2, 2026
Japan’s relief rally masks deeper economic risks
- Markets rebound, but Japan not yet out of the woods
- Bond markets turn on Europe as energy costs surge
- Putin under pressure as diplomacy stalls and risks mount
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The Iran war doesn’t immediately jeopardize Taiwan
It shows both Taipei and Beijing that Trump’s willing to send US forces in large number into battle outside the Western Hemisphere
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