1. Chinese and Indian diplomats will exchange visits very soon. Chinese officials will visit India first, and India’s Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar will then come to China.
2. The opportunity may be precipitated by the Russia-Ukraine conflict, in which China and India have very similar positions. For economic and trade reasons, India needs China. India will be at a disadvantage if it continues to fight with China. It won’t benefit from a border conflict with China, which will only benefit several developed countries, including the United States, Japan and Australia, which want to make trouble. These countries offer no benefits to India.
3. India will have realized that it’s better to secure benefits from both China and the United States, rather than taking sides between the two. During the past two years, India has gone in the wrong direction by leaning toward the United States and Japan and joining the QUAD. It has now understood the true state of affairs. This provides India with no benefits, but only leads to problems. It is expected that India will remain in the QUAD while learning to echo Biden’s statement that it “wants no conflicts or a new Cold War.”
4. China has no illusions about India’s capricious policy. But China will follow the strategic trend of peaceful development of economic cooperation and trade. There is no reason not to repair India-China relations. The United States always hopes that other countries will clash with China harshly. It worries that China’s global trade development will go smoothly. China should promote the development of its economic relations and trade with other countries. It does not need to retaliate against India. This development is a sharp response to the hostile United States.
Chen Jing is director of R&D, Asia Vision Technology. This article is translated from the Chinese site The Observer (guancha.cn) and republished with permission.