There are no permanent friends and no permanent allies in the war to attain power. On the political chessboard, the masses are the pawns used by the chess players to grab power.
After his failure to checkmate the establishment, Nawaz Sharif is silently working on making a compromise in order to save his daughter Maryam Nawaz‘ future. Sharif’s battle to assert his power on matters pertaining to foreign policy and security led to his demise and at the same time, it created an opportunity for Imran Khan to rise on the political horizon.
The state of Pakistan is controlled by the military establishment, which is responsible for giving birth to heroes and antiheroes. It creates political leaders and when it feels threatened by them, it creates an engineered consent through massive propaganda that ultimately leads to the demise of a particular hero it created.
We have seen this again and again during the 71 years of Pakistan’s history. Zulfikar Bhutto was created by the military establishment and then he was overthrown and eventually hanged by the same establishment. Nawaz Sharif was launched by the establishment to counter Bhutto’s daughter Benazir, but instead of taking dictation he understood the game and tried to assert his authority. As a result, he was dismissed from office twice in the 1990s.
Benazir Bhutto read the situation well and opted to work with the establishment, but even she was not able to complete any of her terms in office. Sharif’s return to Pakistan in 2007 from exile and his return to the corridors of power did not happen only with the support of the masses, it was actually the powerful establishment that despite his past gave him another chance in the hope that he had learned his lesson. But Sharif again got involved in a rift with the establishment and eventually he was thrown out of politics completely, and this time put behind bars with his daughter Maryam.
Meanwhile, Imran Khan was launched by the establishment with the help of the electronic media. A powerful propaganda campaign presented him as a new messiah for the masses. Despite his dismal performance in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, where the government led by his Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf party was not able to launch even a single mega-project, he managed to win this year’s general election.
It is no mystery who helped Khan win the general election and who stopped Sharif and his Pakistan Muslim League (Nawaz) party from reclaiming Punjab and the center by depriving them of a level playing field. It raises a question of whether Sharif misread the political events or was too confident of winning against all odds merely on the basis of his party’s good performance in the province of Punjab and federally. After all, power politics is all about grabbing power, and none of the players involved in the battle actually like to be deprived of power by challenging the traditional status quo.
Many PML-N voters and supporters believe that Sharif actually challenged the establishment and along with his daughter was trying to tilt the balance of power in favor of civilian rule. However, his younger brother Shahbaz Sharif and his son Hamza Shahbaz were not in favor of Sharif’s narrative and style of politics. However, Nawaz Sharif actually never walked the path of real resistance and genuine anti-establishment politics. He might have challenged a few faces of the current establishment, but of course like every other politician his sole motive was to grab power.
Power politics is all about grabbing power, and none of the players involved in the battle actually like to be deprived of power by challenging the traditional status quo
Since he was disqualified by the courts and was not acceptable to the establishment, he did not have any other choice but to resist the forces working against him. However, he is a shrewd politician and he never shut the door on negotiations with the invisible forces in the form of Shahbaz Sharif.
Shahbaz played the role of good cop to negotiate with the establishment and at the same time, he was presented as a bad cop to the PML-N vote bank. Sharif played the role of bad cop to assert pressure on the establishment for gaining the political space and he appeared as a good cop to his followers and supporters, who were genuinely challenging the status quo forces. Sharif knew that he would not be allowed any space but he wanted to retain the province of Punjab to carry on the battle with the invisible opponent forces.
Sharif’s decision to leave Pakistan to see his ailing wife at a time when his party was feeling the wrath of the establishment resulted in major defections from southern Punjab, and by the time he returned to the country to face arrest, it was already too late, The damage was already done – a perception was already created through propaganda that his party would not be given any space in Punjab either.
It would have been much better had Sharif worked on a formula to get a clean chit for Maryam and left her in London to take care of the ailing Kalsoom Nawaz. Another mistake was Sharif’s miscalculation of his voters’ strength. His voters were and still are not prepared for the agitation mode of politics, nor does his second-tier party leadership have the firebrand style of Maryam Nawaz to engage the youth and the urban class. Perhaps by being jailed Sharif has already saved the future of Maryam, and she can rise on the political horizon as his political heir, but for that to happen Sharif needs to make a compromise.
While many in the journalism community have written Sharif and his daughter off, the reality is quite different. People in very informed circles believe the pair will be released within a few weeks and will go to London as a result of a deal. Maryam sooner or later will be given a clean chit to acquire political space and she will lead the party in the future, with the impression that her eyes are set on challenging and overthrowing the status-quo forces.
This will mean she will have to make a few compromises, and every compromise will invite new demands. So it can be said that Maryam probably will continue her style of anti-establishment politics in the future, but she will actually be fighting for the lost fort of Punjab more than anything. That will probably be good for PML-N and the House of Sharif, but it will actually result in the continuity of the invisible rule of the establishment and the absence of real anti-status-quo politics and political leadership in Pakistan.
What are you smoking?
Very sensible analysis.
Issue is who can throw out the rotten eggs in army leadership everytime they rot the PAKISTAN politics. Not knowing how damaging is their actions in pursuit of their egoistic attitude being generals. They SHUD also face the same fate as political leaders have time n again.
Pak Army❤ is the BEST N RESPECTABLE INSTITUTION does not mean that every general who leads Pak Army is is Wise leader to deprive Pakistan of its real leadership to b chosen by masses .
Till when v Pakistanis will bear these stooches in Establishment’s corridors. This is the question to b answered.
he is enjoying the same "flavor" as Imran khan. Let them party….. this is there time …. fate unfortunately @ the expense of people’s stolen will.
It’s a Tragdey for the Nation as the damage done takes years and years to rebuild .From the Independence of Our Great Country only one question arises that no Political Leader ever Completed his or Her Tenure according to the Green Book having the Constitution written in it black and white .Why the changes are made in it is beyond imagination. The Country and the Ordinary Citizens who toil day in day out to earn for day to day Living .Rest Enjoy.
The writer seem to ignorant to leave aside the element of proven corruption which has been the Forte of Sharifs! Maryam simply lacks caliber and magnitude and therefore shall never be allowes to lead the party which lacks air to the ground and has always been in power! This is a golden era for Shehbaz and his Son to capture whatever they can and they shall always remain at the helm and incase Maryam tries to twist their arm then PMLN shall soon see another faction!
Moreover, Sharifs have an established history of making it to power EVERY TIME with the help of same Establishment they are talking or at least giving an impression of talking against! From 1981 to 2013 This man NS has always acquired Fake Mandate arranged by the same so called invisible forces. He is truly The Godfather of Corruption alongwith Maryam who is the Godmother! All corrupt and anti state elements surround NS and are even visiting him at Jail to prove their allegiance to The godfather! And here we have a writer who is finding ways to stall this PMLN i.e. Private Money Laundering Network on us again! But IA it will never happen again.
Nawaz sharif is put down by his own stubbornness and ego.. neither he nor his brother nor his family nor his party companions nor his voters hav ever accepted even a single wrongdoing in the past 35 years. Justice must be done.
I remember Canada’s Pierre Trudeau’s supreme realism at work when told by his colleagues of all the media and public’s adulation in 1968. “The Media can unmake me as quickly as they made me” he deadpanned.
This Nawaz-leaning author is suggesting that in Pakistan the kingmaker role is played by the Military. So if his theory is right he should rejoice. Imran Khan will be undone by the Military very soon.
But this is not going to happen.
I wonder if the army was responsible for leaking Panama scandal, army was responsible for nawaz and the gang to tell lies after lies in court, army was responsible for corruption in saaf pani ,metro corruption orange train corruption, motorway corruption zero human development, zero schools ,zero hospitals ,I can go on all day if the army is responsible for all this why does he want to come in power when he knows the army runs the show and he can’t win.
Wow!!! An 1100 word article on Nawaz Sharif and not one mention of "Avenfeld" flats or "Panama Papers" which initiated Nawaz Sharif’s conviction in a court of law. I’ll tell you why the author didn’t mention the Panama Papers, because mentioning the Panama Papers would have destroyed the narrative he was feebly attempting to build by glossing over Nawaz’s corruption as a "judicial coup". Even though there isn’t a single mention of "Avenfeld" or "Panama Papers", the "Establishment" is mentioned EIGHTEEN times!!! Who you working for Imad !?!?! ha ha ha!!
YOU ARE SHIT MAN, SMELL SHIT, TALK SHIT.NAWAZ WAS PRIM MINESTER OF PAKISTAN, BEST WAS HIS MOODAY, HE EAT SAM AND DRINK SAME AS MOODI? NAWAZ NEWER TAKE NAME OF KULBOHSHAN YADEU,WOH COUT BAY PAKISTANI FORAS,?LAHNAT ON NAWAZ AND IS FREIND IS WELL? HE IS MONY LONDERER,THEEF? AND YOU ARE HIS POODAL.
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