At the G7 meeting in Canada on June 9, a photo of US President Trump sitting cross-armed while German Chancellor Angela Merkel and other leaders stood around him went viral on the internet.
Merkel shares viral photo of herself staring down Trump https://t.co/9deGheiF6e pic.twitter.com/BSZmQDkPrl
— The Hill (@thehill) June 9, 2018
Pundits claim the photo captures the current contentious relationship between Washington and Berlin, and other traditional allies. Indeed, it appears this saga continued to play out at the recent NATO summit on July 11-12, where an exasperated Trump expressed his “It’s not fair to the US taxpayer” position on the heavy burden of providing defense welfare to Europe. After decades of chronic anemic defense spending by European allies, Trump reportedly threatened to pull the US out of NATO.
In turn, there has been a barrage of articles and conferences on both sides of the Atlantic characterizing Trump as the “Disrupter- in-Chief”: threatening the US-led liberal order; undermining NATO and transatlantic ties; waging a trade war with Berlin; planning to “meddle” in German domestic politics; and prompting angry headlines ranging from “Donald Trump, Italy, and the threat to Germany” to sad ones such as “Best Friends No More?” lamenting the once strong relationship between Washington and its most important partner in continental Europe.
However, perhaps it is premature to lament, and the transatlantic rift may not be a structural one after all but rather one of miscommunication and misunderstanding between Mars and Venus. Undoubtedly, Germany has been and still is America’s most important partner in continental Europe, and even China knows the road to the EU is through Berlin and not Brussels. But a “partner” is not necessarily a “best friend” – which is a position traditionally reserved for the UK – although it will obviously no longer be a key US partner in the EU post-Brexit.
Thus, rather than for allies and partners to feel hurt or dejected about the shift in US posture in the new Trumpian era, the key point to understand about Trump is that he is not a globalist, and is actually tapping into an earlier incarnation of American exceptionalism by cementing the traditional Anglo-American special relationship, US-Israel alliance, English Speaking Union, Five Eyes, etc. In his February 2018 Foreign Affairs article, Charles Kupchan – professor at Georgetown University and former White House official in the Obama administration – argued that Trump’s “America First” is essentially the original pre-World War II/Pearl Harbor version of “American exceptionalism.”
Which version of American exceptionalism?
In this insightful article, Kupchan discussed the metamorphosis of American exceptionalism from one of spreading democracy by example, to one of spreading democracy by intrusion and invasion. He argued that prior to World War II, American exceptionalism meant insulating the American experiment from foreign threats and international entanglement, spreading democracy by example, embracing protectionism and fair trade, and preserving a relatively homogenous citizenry through racist and anti-immigrant policies. This “American exceptionalism 1.0” was essentially about America first.
However, the attack on Pearl Harbor ended US isolationism and began the era of American exceptionalism 2.0 of active foreign interventions. If the US can no longer shield itself from the world and share the American experiment by example, it would run the world by intrusion to project its power and values. The US foreign policy approach was within a clear Cold War framework, with a military component supplemented with economics. With a special focus on the Middle East, the US and its allied forces sought to advance Western interests by securing oil fields, ensuring the safe passage of shipping, and inoculating formerly feudal and colonial societies against the seduction of communism.
If a multi-order world is indeed forthcoming, we may perhaps see a consolidation of the Americas in one order, Germany/continental Europe in another order, China and Russia in a Eurasian order, Iran/northern Middle East in one order, Saudi Arabia/southern Middle East in another order, an African order, and so on
Now, after decades of misguided regime change policies in the Middle East, a string of failed states that spawned rising terrorism and Islamic extremism, floods of refugees destabilizing the EU, and US imperial overstretch, Kupchan argues that America needs to shift to Version 3.0 of American exceptionalism. Version 3.0 is a combination of 1.0 (isolationism) and 2.0 (imperial overstretch), where Washington needs to exercise strategic modesty in the face of declining resources/material capabilities, waning ideological dominance, and look for co-governance with partners in cooperative security (inclusive), not just US-dominant military alliances in collective security (exclusive).
Kupchan believes that the US should shift its role as the world’s policeman to one of an arbiter of great power peace, emphasizing diplomatic rather than military engagement outside core areas. In this vein, the international community appears to be entering what Trine Flockhart, Kupchan’s co-author of a 2014 German Marshall Fund report, “Liberal Order in a Post-Western World,” calls a “multi-order world.”
The emerging multi-order world
Similar to Kupchan, Flockhart argues that at a time when the West is losing its material primacy and ideological dominance, with devolution of power from Western hegemony to increasing regionalism, identity (Muslim, Western, Asian, Latin American, African) is likely to be the major defining feature of new orders. While there has been much literature on a coming multi-polar world with the decline of the West and “Rise of the Rest,” and seeing different powers or poles still within the US-led liberal order, Flockhart’s argument differs in that she sees there will be various orders, with the Western liberal order being one order in a pool of different orders. This is akin to the Cold War international system when different economic orders co-existed – one was the US-led Western liberal order undergirded by US military power and the Bretton Woods institutions, another one was COMECON led by the Soviet Union and the Warsaw Pact, and a third economic order with the Non-Aligned Movement.
If a multi-order world is indeed forthcoming, we may perhaps see a consolidation of the Americas in one order, Germany/continental Europe in another order, China and Russia in a Eurasian order, Iran/northern Middle East in one order, Saudi Arabia/southern Middle East in another order, an African order, and so on. In such a scenario as also described in Kupchan’s book No One’s World (2012), where no one order, power, or pole dominates, the goal and challenge then is to weave a new normative consensus and coordination of diverse capitalist governance models in this system of decentered globalism. Thus, the sooner the Washington DC establishment realizes this and adjusts US policies accordingly, the better the prospect for a peaceful transition to this new world order. The question now is, which version of American exceptionalism will the US choose?
America at a crossroad
In the face of political cleavage at home and a transatlantic rift, it is all the more important for Trump’s America to come to some consensus and cooperation with others in this decentered global system, and likely choose Version 3.0. Trump needs to balance domestic interests with international commitments, and this calls for US allies to step up to the plate and become important partners for co-governance in the new world order, whether to immediately increase defense spending within NATO, or as military historian Andrew Bacevich suggested, to alternatively build up the EU’s own defense capabilities.
As Kupchan recommended, America can no longer be the world’s policeman but can be a new arbiter of great power peace by working with other partners. This may mean revisiting the 1989 Partner in Leadership that president George HW Bush offered Germany after reunification, but Berlin failed to accept.
Now, with a Trumpian America embarking on American exceptionalism 3.0, the timing may be right for the US in the Americas and Germany in continental Europe to partner as leaders of the Western liberal order, and continue to strengthen transatlantic ties in an increasingly multi-order world.
President Trump alleges the European NATO members only pay 30% of the NATO operating costs. Well, the US is creating 100% of the wars and covert operations for regime changes, Europe pay most of the refugees expenses. Europe gets most of the terrorists attacks by extremists created due to NATO’s genocides and war crimes.
The "war on terror" is just a smoke screen for Christian Zionists and Jewish Zioninst geopolitical strategies.
NATO is destroying their members and should be dissolved. US is creating scarecrows to force the NATO members to increase their defense spending, far above the member countries economies can tolerate. The US want to sell their weapons to NATO at a hefty price. What we get is junk like the F-35 who need 100-hour maintenance per one-hour flight time. Then we see the $1,2 Million Tomahawk missiles is useless and get shout down by Syria’s Soviet era missile defense systems.
NATO destroy democracies. We did see this during the failed Turkey coup and assassination attempt on democratically elected President Erdogan. NATO air base was used, F-16, and several NATO rapid response brigades! NATO says they had no idea about the Turkey coup, but it was all ordered by an elderly Turkish cleric living in the US! A cleric has control over an air base with 52 nukes, F-16, and NATO brigades? What a stupid lie.
US “nation building” in Ukraine has killed and maimed thousands and made millions of refugees! The US is making the Ukrainian mess and the EU must bail the US out of the failed Victoria Nuland project. Ukraine is now run by corrupt fascist who get more and more weapons from the US and ISRAEL!
The US/UN/NATO wars in the Middle East and North Africa has killed millions and made tens of millions homeless. EU get the burden of taking care of the refugees, because Zionist America and neo-Zionist Saudi Arabian leaders does not like to take care of Muslims! Europe has now so many legal refugees and illegal economical refugees that it threatens several nations stability.
President Trump allege EU NATO countries does not pay enough for participating in the US/NATO war crimes! Who pay for taking care of the refugees created by US/NATO war crimes? It is Europe that must pay. President Donald Trump; pay up or shut up!
NATO forces in Afghanistan in Afghanistan and Syria is destabilizing the region. Pakistan is bankrupt due to their support of US “war on terror”. What will happen with the Pakistani nukes if Pakistan’s democratically elected Government and Pakistan military loses control? To add insult to injury to Pakistan, the US/NATO has now launched a financial war against Pakistan. Pakistan should close the US supply lines throug Pakistan to the US Afghan forces. The Afghan war was lost a long time ago. What a waste of lives and it is a costly war for the US tax payers too. Dividens to the shareholder in the companies in the US military complex seems to be more important than human life’s and the soon bancrupt US Tax payers!
US/NATO has supported 54 “moderate terrorists” and terrorist groups in the “pipeline war” against the democratically elected Syrian Government, so far 400,000 innocent Syrians dead!
To top it all off we have the NATO false flags in NATO countries in Europe. The Gladio false flags operations is verified and admitted too. What a shame! DISSOLVE NATO, before it brings Europe into WW3!
The report the author cites, "Liberal Order in a Post-Western World" is nothing more than a statement that the West’s influence is waning due to it inevitiable economic decline relative to the rest of the world’s economies, and the "… global allure of its model…" is no longer alluring to anybody.
While true, the solution is not much more than a desire to somehow (no real solutions given), maintain Western ideological hegemony.
Western hubris being what it is, will never allow itself to meet the challenge of "Peacefully managing the onset of a polycentric world will require compromise, tolerance, and recognition of political diversity."
The US under The Donald, is as the author states, simply trying to go back in time to American Exceptionalism 1.0. It will never get to American Exceptionalism 3.0 as there is no such thing.
She really needs to read J.R.R Tolkien’s "lord of the rings" and understand the story, also understand that the world is definitely going to function in a particular way because you have humans living on it.
Economicts have estimated that full 53% of US GDP is "Hegemonic".
Arm twisting allies into buying worthless US armaments at inflated prices, selling futile services in "management", providing useless education in its universities, selling dreams via Hollywood flicks, preferable Tariffs, …. But how long can this go on?
Trump is the child that child that shouts that Emperor has no clothes.