Following a US-led strike on Syrian targets last week — which changed little in the equation on the ground vis-à-vis the Bashar al-Assad regime, Russia and the United States — analysts continue to look through the smoke at what many say is a significantly more dangerous situation. The Israel-Iran conflict in Syria is heating up, and is already morphing from a proxy battle into a direct confrontation.
Scholars at the Washington DC-based Brookings Institution wrote on Wednesday that, following an Israeli strike on a military base in Syria last week, it is only a matter of time before the next escalation. The strike killed seven Iranians and may have destroyed a drone infrastructure project, and there are already signs retaliation is in the works.
“Iranian media gave extensive coverage to the Israeli attack on T-4 last week. Iranian leaders, most noticeably Ali Akbar Velayati, the top advisor to Iran’s supreme leader, issued direct threats of retaliation,” authors Dror Michman and Yael Mizrahi-Arnaud said.
“Hezbollah’s leader, Hassan Nasrallah, also warned Israel that this time there would be a steep price to pay; the highly publicized funerals of Quds forces personnel was the latest such indication. Iran is now both deeply and publicly committed to retaliate. The stage is set,” the article warns ominously.
“While the intentions are clear, there remains considerable debate over what form the retaliation would take. In the Middle East, these nuances matter. […] A missile salvo appears to be the most appropriate Iranian response, both in terms of capabilities and risk calculation (and mirroring the Israeli missiles launched at T-4). However, the more crucial question is what target they will choose.”
Iran will likely try to find a delicate balance should they respond with an attack that the Russians “would find tolerable and containable,” the article asserts, but it is unclear what, if anything, would be easily contained.
Any strike on a significant Israeli military target, one likely scenario, would have to inflict negligible damage, the authors suggest. Otherwise it is hard to imagine an Israeli response would be contained.
Kalulu Wa Karûmpû the narrative from ex slaves is Africans captured their brothers and sold them to the white man in exchange for alcohol, knives and cloth. Why ? Tribalism.
Kalulu Wa Karûmpû your got your slave story wrong. Do your research
I don’t think Israel is stupid enough to do it without considering a possible retaliation from Iran. If they knew Iran will retaliate and still carried out the bombings in Syria… they must be thinking of something favorable to them. They knew they are prepared for anything and it might even give them a legit reason to engage Iran directly.
Here are some possible considerations why Israel thinks they have the upperhand:
1. Advanced weaponry – as a successful startup nation they have the access to the most advanced technology without any restrictions like those sanctions being imposed to a perceived rouge nations like Iran and North Korea. They also have access to all 1st world countries technology like US and allies and even Russia who shares the same beliefs as a Christian country.
2. Second to none Intel infrastructure network, the MOSSAD – They are everywhere in disguise. These spies has deeply penetrated the enemies of Israel that they can carry out sabotage at will like destroying nuclear facility of Iran in the past and recently the alleged assassination of a Hamas lecturer in Malaysia. They also provide real-time information for use in strategic, operational, and tactical courses of actions.
3. Top-tier cyber operations capability – much of the world’s advanced cyber and weapons systems are made in Israel. They have the know how and leverage in manipulating other’s systems for their advantage. They can confuse its enemy’s defense networks thru electronic and signal jamming, penetrating the enemy’s weapons operating systems thru hacking and by employing the mossad insiders. The successful bombing of syria’s Chemical facilities by US, UK, and France depended heavily in confusing the Syrian defense system.
4. Israel has a formidable backings at its side – US, France, UK, Canada, Australia NATO Countries and other Christian countries including Russia (as a Christian majority country) will come to aid Israel as a course of last resort. Waking up the sleeping crusaders lead by Rome adds up to the mighthy tools of Israel.
5. Warfare capability comparison, looking at Doctrine, Organization, Trainings and experience, Materiel (hardware and systems), Personnel, Leadership, and Facility (DOTMPLF).. speaks volume of advantage for Israel. On leadership alone, most of the Arab officers did not "rose from the ranks" but appointed from royal bloods depriving them the necessary battle experience, wisdom, loyalty of men, hero making processes, and confidence in warfare. In addition to that, the sole motivation of "killing the Infidels" driven by hate towards Jews is a backward and unproductive purpose of warfare bereft of moral, ethical, and humanitarian standards.
We can discuss lenghtily on comparison including Political, Economic, Religious, Social and Technology, and you will see that Israel’s enjoys so much leverage to push for their survival and related interests.
Danny Figaro……. whats you mean fake jews sorry Iam from Fiji Island its new to me
… The synagogue of Satan who call themselves Israelis know their destiny : Revelations 2 : 9 …Selah….
… Your name suggests that you’revan African . Do you know that the synagogue of Satan now occupys Palestine ? They call themselves Israelis and not Israelites ; does this tell their story of lies ? KNOW AND NOT BELIEVE ! …Selah….
I don’t think Israel is stupid enough to do it without considering a retaliation from Iran. If they knew Iran will retaliate and still carried out the bombings in Syria… they must be thinking of something favorable to them. They knew they are prepared for anything and it might even give them a legitimate reason to engage Iran directly.
This escalation might result to a Persian-Israeli confrontation….and we know very well that Iranians have been waiting long for this. Well..this Shiite State will face the Full wrath from mighty Israeli. They Tried Retaking Jerusalem during the Millenial Period, they failed. Mossad always on the Shadows.
Akinbileje Bola .a child is legitimate only when born out of wedlock, not just a promise!
Akinbileje Bola .yes a lion which uses honey traps to deal with Palestinians. A lion which uses bullets against stone throwing kids whose land Israel has stolen.a lion which forgot it’s own recent past of holocaust but readily oppresses others. A lion which calls itself democratic but is a pathetic coward when it comes to peace.a lion adept at blackmailing American politicians in to supporting it’s gross human rights violations. A lion which in fact meows unless backed by USA.
Stephen Coyle if the time to return arrives , then what?
Weng D Arroyo , the "Land" is not Satanic even if there are Satanic inhabitants. Remember when Abraham asked if there were 10 righteous people in the land. Jews are people of the Book and not to be slaughtered. Why do those who worship after the way of Abraham fight amongst ourselves and turn to an atheist idolatrous nation to fight other believers of the same Allah/God ?
Lawrence Juma I think it is not only me, it may be ‘us’.
If ever Iran would retaliate and for it to be acceptable to her allies, it better be restricted within Syria where Israel committed the attack. This is what happens when other countries meddles with someone else’s fate. Leave Syrians alone!
Viktor Kvc Thanks Bro. why these semireligious people are so retarded?
Hahaha psychologically tortured
Brain washed my bro, who wrote the bible you’re based on
Here comes another person who blindly supports landgrabers and killers in the name of fairh
miss HITLER….need him back ……
Iran hss much to lose from an attack on Israel.