“The overwhelming bulk of the evidence was that this was an attack that was likely to take place overseas.”
– White House National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice, May 16, 2002

“Bin Laden Determined to Strike in US.” – CIA’s August 6, 2001 briefing memo to President George W. Bush

“If you invade Iraq you will create a hundred bin Ladens.” – Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, January 2003

The 9-11 Commission, according to its own website, is “an independent, bipartisan commission created by congressional legislation and the signature of President George W. Bush in late 2002.” The commission is “chartered to prepare a full and complete account of the circumstances surrounding the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks, including preparedness for and the immediate response to the attacks.”

A key consequence of the political theater/media circus around former counterterrorism czar Richard Clarke’s revelations – in his testimony to the commission and in his best-selling book Against All Enemies – was to force the White House to “deliver” National Security Advisor Condoleezza (“Condi”) Rice. She is due to testify to the commission on Thursday – just as the Iraq occupation is confronted to the ultimate nightmare: Fallujah as the new Gaza in the Sunni triangle, and an uprising by the millions of angry, destitute followers of firebrand Shi’ite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr.

But as far as the 9-11 Commission is concerned, and at least for the moment, the White House got what it wanted. President George W. Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney will have a private conversation with the commission as a tandem, not under oath, and behind closed doors. This testimony won’t be recorded. The commission will hardly have more than two or three hours to ask crucial questions to both, when it could have at least double the time to ask questions to each of them separately. The arrangement of course prevents them from contradicting each other – a basic premise of any criminal investigation. It makes sure that the all-powerful, all-seeing Cheney is the Praetorian Guard capable of preventing any Bush rhetorical disaster.

Andrew Rice, chair of the 9-11 Commission Committee of the September 11 Families for Peaceful Tomorrows organization, is one among millions of terribly frustrated Americans. He believes that as far as this official 9-11 Commission is concerned, the “fix was in” from the beginning. Beverly Eckert, whose husband died on September 11, adds: “We wanted journalists, we wanted academics … We did not want politicians.”

The commission comprises nine men and a woman, five Republicans and five Democrats. They include two former governors, a former navy secretary, a former deputy attorney-general, two former Congressmen, two former senators and a former White House counsel. It’s a consummate bunch of establishment arch-insiders, all inter-connected. One wonders how such a body can possibly investigate what’s behind the myriad of political, military and intelligence interplay. Even the commission itself has been forced to admit that of the 16 federal agencies covered by its investigation, only the State Department is being “fully cooperative,” with the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) as a distant second. This is leading to a growing perception, not only in Washington but in other parts of the world, of a “hidden agenda.” “They seem to be interested in putting up a good show as a cover up; and of course they’re very worried about damage control,” says a diplomat from the European Union.

Independents in conflict

There are devastating cases of conflict of interest in the commission. Chairman Thomas Kean may be the most obvious. The US$1 trillion lawsuit filed in August 2002 by the families of the victims of September 11 includes two of Kean’s business partners among the accused: Saudi billionaires Khalid bin Mahfouz (who is Osama bin Laden’s brother-in-law, no less), and Mohammed Hussein al-Amoudi. They are key financial players behind al-Qaeda: Mahfouz transferred millions of dollars from a Saudi pension fund to bank accounts in London and New York linked with al-Qaeda. He is a former director of BCCI, the bank in the center of a notorious $12 billion bankruptcy scandal during the presidency of Bush senior.

Kean is director and shareholder of Amerada Hess Corporation, an oil giant involved in a joint venture with Delta Oil of Saudi Arabia – which is owned by the clans of Mahfouz and Amoudi – to explore Caspian Sea oilfields. Amerada Hess severed the joint venture only three weeks before Kean was appointed chairman of the 9-11 Commission by his friend George W. Bush.

It’s unlikely fellow members at the 9-11 Commission will ask Kean to reveal to what extent he was aware of Mahfouz’s links to al-Qaeda; or ask Amerada Hess to open its books and reveal what kind of deals it was cooking up with Mahfouz. After all, Bush himself also had a business connection with Mahfouz, owner of various investments in Houston, Texas. As to the 28 pages of the joint congressional committee detailing Saudi support to al-Qaeda, they also seem to have vanished into thin air.

The commission, for instance, also will not investigate the foreign policy that started it all in the late 1970s and early 1980s: the Central Intelligence Agency’s (CIA’s) full support to the hardcore international Islamic brigades which joined the jihad against the Soviets in Afghanistan – and then turned against the US after the first Gulf War in 1991. This would mean that the commission would have to seriously investigate Secretary of State Colin Powell and his number two, Richard Armitage, key players in those 1980s proceedings.

Former national security adviser to Jimmy Carter, Zbigniew Brzezinski, also one of the key members of the Council on Foreign Relations, was the mastermind behind the building of an Islamic network in Afghanistan – as part of a huge, covert CIA operation. To a large extent, the modern Islamic jihad exists thanks to Brzezinski. There are four members of the Council on Foreign Relations in the commission. There’s hardly any chance of them investigating their fellow Brzezinski.

The commission’s executive director, Philip D Zelikow, is a crucial player. This is the man who directs all the investigative research of the commission. On October 5, 2001 – two days before the beginning of the bombing of Afghanistan – he was appointed as one of the three members of Bush’s foreign intelligence advisory board. Zelikow is the ultimate Bush insider.

Andrew Rice says that Zelikow “worked with these people and now he is defending them.” Zelikow also worked for Jim Baker, former secretary of state of Bush senior. He spent three years on Bush senior’s National Security Council. He is close to Bush junior, and even closer to Condi Rice: they worked together, and he even co-wrote two books with her.

Commissioner Jamie S Gorelick is very close to CIA director George Tenet. No wonder: she works on the CIA’s National Security Advisory Panel, as well as on the president’s Review of Intelligence. Tenet is one of the masterminds of the Bush administration “war on terror.” This means no chance for the commission to investigate dubious covert operations by the CIA which may foment terrorism instead of fighting it.

Commissioner Fred Fielding is a former White House counsel during Reagan’s time, at the time of the Iran-Contra scandal. He is very close to all major players in the Bush administration, in fact one of the White House men in the commission alongside Zelikow.

Commissioner John Lehman was navy secretary under Reagan. He served alongside two of the commission’s key witnesses: Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage and former counterterrorism head Richard Clarke. He is close to all major players in the Bush administration and also a member of the Council on Foreign Relations, with very close personal ties to Henry Kissinger. Lehman is Kissinger’s man in the commission.

Commissioner Timothy J Roemer is a former member of the Intelligence Committee’s task force on Homeland Security and Terrorism and the joint inquiry on 9-11 of the Senate and House. He is very close to Congressman Porter Goss and Senator Bob Graham, who co-headed the joint inquiry. Graham and Goss, as we will see on part 2 of this series, have very suspicious links to former Pakistani Inter Services Intelligence director Lieutenant General Mahmoud Ahmad.

If the intellectual masterminds of the “war on terror” in the Council on Foreign Relations won’t be investigated, neither will be those members of the Project for a New American Century (PNAC). PNAC was prophetic in the sense that even before the Bush administration, in a 2000 white paper, their members were betting on “some catastrophic and catalyzing event – like a new Pearl Harbor” so the American people would support their agenda of global politico-military dominance. All neo-conservative superstars – like Cheney, Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld and his deputy Paul Wolfowitz, Richard Perle – are members of PNAC (see Asia Times Online, March 20, 2003, This war is brought to you by …)

Clarke writes about their obsession on page 30 of his book: “I realized with almost a sharp physical pain that Rumsfeld and Wolfowitz were going to try to take advantage of this national tragedy to promote their agenda about Iraq.” On page 231, Clarke recalls in vivid detail an April 2001 meeting where Wolfowitz is obsessed with Iraq, while the CIA dismisses the Wolfowitz-peddled notion of Iraqi terrorism and the State Department agrees with Clarke’s assessment of al-Qaeda as “a major threat” and “an urgent priority.”

Andrew Rice could not but be a serious critic of the commision: “It is not about transparency, it is just there to appease the public. But it won’t appease me or many other family members. We need a truly independent commission that is outside the realm of government. The worst case scenario is that I fear this could be a whitewash and a coverup.” The final report of the commission won’t be published until April 2005 – long after the November presidential election.

Clarke , Condi and the Bush doctrine

Clarke insists that he explicitly warned the Bush administration about al-Qaeda as early as January 25, 2001, five days after the inauguration: “It was very explicit. [Condoleezza] Rice was briefed … and Zelikow sat in.” Clarke said that he gave Condi Rice a detailed memo on how to fight al-Qaeda, based on CIA briefings and lots of information collected under the Bill Clinton administration. On page 229 of his book, he writes: “… her facial expression gave me the impression she had never heard the term [al-Qaeda] before.”

In 2002, the White House had to admit on the record that the August 6, 2001 president daily briefing (PDB) quoted at the start of this article said that al-Qaeda might use hijacked planes in an attack inside the US. A portion of this PDB, written by the CIA, predicted that al-Qaeda would launch an attack “in the coming weeks” and that it “will be spectacular and designed to inflict mass casualties against US facilities or interests. Attack preparations have been made. Attack will occur with little or no warning.” So Bush knew: he’s supposed to have read the PDB while on holiday in Crawford, Texas. But Bush has claimed executive privilege and the White House has refused to release the full text of the PDB.

In her famous May 16, 2002 press conference, Condi Rice said: “I don’t think anybody could have predicted that these people would take an airplane and slam it into the World Trade Center, take another one and slam it into the Pentagon, that they would try to use an airplane as a missile, a hijacked airplane as a missile.” Apparently Rumsfeld could have predicted it. Speaking to the 9-11 Commission last month, Rumsfeld said he, personally, didn’t know. But he admitted having received “a civil aviation circular that people did know … They sent it out on June 22, 2001.”

Rumsfeld may know much more than he’s willing to admit. According to a report on the US army’s Internet site, a simulation of a plane crashing on the Pentagon was carried 10 months before September 11. Rumsfeld told the 9-11 Commission, under oath, that “he did not know” about this simulation, which was conducted by the Emergency Management Team at the Pentagon and involved a lot of employees. The simulation could have been just one more in an endless series of coincidences. Or it could be part of the planning for an event the Pentagon – or at least his director – knew was going to happen.

After the outbursts of the Clarke-smearing campaign – brutal even by the standards of the Bush White House – it has emerged that Condi Rice is also contradicted by none other than the all-powerful Dick Cheney. The White House insists that it did know exactly what it was doing before September 11. And Rice said the White House counterterrorism czar was indeed “in the loop.” But Cheney said that Clarke was “not in the loop” – the ultimate Washington put-down. So who was outlooped, Clarke or Condi?

Clarke’s central accusation is relatively mild. He says that the Bush administration was lost in space as far as al-Qaeda was concerned because of its ideological fixation on Saddam Hussein. This may have generated non-stop character assassination from the Bush camp, but the fact is Clarke has produced no smoking gun. Essentially, the only major difference between Clarke and the neo-cons is that Clarke was obsessed with bin Laden, while the neo-cons were obsessed with Saddam. Both bin Laden and Saddam, as we know, are former CIA assets.

On page 243 of his book, Clarke qualifies as “somewhat off the mark” the critique of Bush as “a dumb, lazy rich kid.” But then he crucially adds: “I doubt that anyone ever had the chance to make the case to him that attacking Iraq would actually make America less secure and strengthen the broader radical Islamic terrorist movement. Certainly he did not hear that from the small circle of advisors who alone are the people whose views he respects and trusts.” Condi Rice has always been in favor of regime change in Iraq.

In an article she wrote to Foreign Affairs in early 2000, Rice outlined what amounted to be a semi-official Bush foreign policy platform. She lists five key foreign policy priorities. Only the last one made any mention of terrorism. Al-Qaeda, Osama bin Laden, Afghanistan, madrassas in Pakistan, al-Qaeda-style financial networks, Islamist sleeper cells in America, Spain and Germany, none of this is even mentioned. Rice only talks about North Korea, Iraq and Iran – which two years later, in early 2002, would graduate to “axis of evil” status. She is in favor of regime change in Iraq. And her top policy recommendation is national missile defense – aimed at rogue states.

Sibel Edmonds, a former FBI wiretap translator, fluent in English, Turkish, Farsi and Azerbaijani and with top-secret security clearance, told Salon news publication that she is nothing but outraged: “Especially after reading Condoleezza Rice where she said, ‘we had no specific information whatsoever of domestic threat or that they might use airplanes’. That’s an outrageous lie. And documents can prove it’s a lie.” Edmonds wants the commission to ask real questions to FBI director Robert Mueller when he testifies later this month: “Like, in April 2001, did an FBI field office receive legitimate information indicating the use of airplanes for an attack on major cities? And is it true that through an FBI informant, who’d been used [by the bureau] for 10 years, did you get information about specific terrorist plans and specific cells in this country? He couldn’t say no.” Edmonds’ recent interviews also raise the fascinating possibility that al-Qaeda penetrated internal security both at the Pentagon and at the State Department. In this case, are the moles still in place?

The Bush administration as a whole took over the media to tell everyone how they had identified the al-Qaeda danger long ago – so they could not be accused of passive responsibility on September 11. But the single evidence of these later allegations was the long build up to the post-September 11 war on Afghanistan. What this actually means is that the war on Afghanistan cannot possibly be described any more as an act of legitimate defense. As to the Bush doctrine of preventive war, which was nothing more than a rhetorical artifact in the first place, it has become a significant casualty of the Clarke-White House shouting match. The doctrine has only lasted enough time to allow the Bush administration to attack Iraq.

It is expected that the 9-11 Commission will keep rolling a huge data bank of unconnected “intelligence failures” and instances of lack of dialogue between FBI and CIA. In the end, it’s fair to assume there will be a fall guy to be blamed for all these “intelligence failures.” It’s also fair to assume it won’t be one of the big guns.