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The biggest risk is the one you don’t think is a risk

David Goldman highlights that the optimism surrounding Trump’s recent stock market rally might be premature, primarily because the Biden administration left Trump with an economy that might be much weaker than the market perceives.

No structural change in German economic policy after polls

Diego Faßnacht reports that Germany’s SPD and CDU have agreed on a February 2025 election date. While the upcoming polls may bring new political dynamics, significant economic reform remains uncertain due to coalition constraints and the Greens’ influence.

Trump administration eyes compromise with Moscow?

James Davis reports that Donald Trump’s transition team is reevaluating US objectives on Ukraine amid the ongoing Russian offensive, potentially advocating for a settlement that may involve Ukraine compromising on lost territory.

Ishiba confirmed as Japan’s new prime minister

Scott Foster reports that Japan’s Diet has confirmed Shigeru Ishiba as prime minister, though in a rare minority government. Tokyo faces challenges from the weak yen due to Trump’s recent election victory with the Bank of Japan hinting at gradual interest rate hikes.

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